Serial Trend of Neutrophil CD64, C-reactive Protein, and Procalcitonin as a Prognostic Marker in Critically Ill Patients with Sepsis/Septic Shock: A Prospective Observational Study from a Tertiary Care ICU

JOURNAL TITLE: Indian Journal of Critical Care Medicine

Author
1. Shakti B Mishra
2. Mohan Gurjar
3. Kritika Singh
4. Rupali Patnaik
5. Prabhaker Mishra
6. Vikas Agarwal
7. Afzal Azim
ISSN
0972-5229
DOI
10.5005/jp-journals-10071-24777
Volume
28
Issue
8
Publishing Year
2024
Pages
8
Author Affiliations
    1. Department of Critical Care Medicine, SGPGIMS, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
    1. Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
    1. Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, India
    2. Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Science, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
    3. Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
    1. Department of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Sanjay Gandhi Post graduate Institute of Medical sciences, Lucknow Uttar Pradesh, India
    1. Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
    2. SGPGIMS, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
  • Article keywords
    C-reactive protein, Mortality, Neutrophil CD64, Procalcitonin, Sepsis, Septic shock, Survivor

    Abstract

    Aim and background: Neutrophil CD64 (nCD64) is evolving as a prognostic biomarker in sepsis. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate whether serial trend of nCD64, procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) predict 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis/septic shock, as per Sepsis-3 criteria. Materials and methods: This prospective, observational single-center cohort study included 60 adult patients (age ≥18 years) with sepsis. Serial biomarker levels with SOFA score were measured at admission (day 0), on day 4, and on day 8. Results: Of the 60 patients, 42 (70%) had septic shock. Biomarker levels at admission did not differ between patients with sepsis and septic shock. Thirty-seven patients survived and 23 were non-survivors by day 28. There was a significant fall in serial trend of all three biomarkers from admission till day 8 (Friedman p < 0.001) in survivors compared to a non-significant change in non-survivors. On multivariate analysis, SOFA score at admission (OR 1.731), more days with vasopressor support (OR 1.077), rise in CD64 from day 0 to day 8 (OR 1.074), and rise in CRP from day 0 to 8 (OR 1.245) were the significant predictors of 28-day mortality (p < 0.05). The highest area under the ROC curve was obtained for more days of vasopressor therapy (0.857), followed by a rise in CD64 from day 0 to day 8 (0.798). Conclusion: Serial trend of biomarkers has prognostic utility. The rise in CD64 from day 0 to day 8 was a good predictor of mortality compared to the trend of other biomarkers.

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